In fact, Ancer ranked 13th off the tee, gained strokes with his approach shots and putted as well as he has in a year, only to lose a remarkable 7.3 strokes around the green. He returns somewhat off the radar after a disappointing week in Mexico in some respects, but as much as he'd have been desperate to impress, he should know that there were a lot of good signs. Still, he demonstrated how comfortable he is here, speaking of his fondness for conditions and love of bentgrass greens in the process. Ancer held a share of the lead through 54 holes after an effortless 62 in round three, but had no answer to a rival in Molinari who was at the top of his game and would go on to win the Open Championship later that summer. So is TPC Potomac, where he drove the ball superbly on his way to fourth place in 2018.
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That course is another difficult par 70 with thick rough and a series of straightforward questions, and it always looked a good fit for the Mexican. Instead, I can't resist ABRAHAM ANCER, one of just three members of the world's top 20 in this field along with McIlroy and Tony Finau.Īncer was very unfortunate to bump into McIlroy putting the lights out at his favourite course in this event last year, doing nothing wrong in second, and went on to gain that overdue breakthrough in the WGC at Southwind. There are signs that the Canadian's troublesome short-game is getting better – if the season ended now, it'd be the first in five in which he gains strokes both around and on the greens – but the world number 31 has found too many different ways to get beaten to be considered at the price. If a rock-solid, old-school ball-striker is the requirement then Corey Conners could be the answer, but backing him at 20/1 just isn't an option I can take too seriously. Who is the best bet for the Wells Fargo Championship? A year earlier, Jason Gore led the fairways stats and benefited plenty from it, just as Stanley did in winning his second PGA Tour title. Brian Gay ranked ninth in strokes-gained off-the-tee in 2018, when fellow short-hitter Ryan Armour finished runner-up. It demands strong driving, but strong driving might mean hitting a stack of fairways. Potomac certainly seems to me to be a pretty straightforward test of execution, rather than creativity either in thought or shot shape. Stanley was close to that, but it didn't stop him. Molinari happened to, but the stats say he could've been awful and still won. But in one way they were very similar, because both Kyle Stanley and Francesco Molinari flushed their ways to victory, hitting more greens than anyone, ranking third and fourth respectively in fairways, and not needing to putt well.
In many ways, those two tournaments here contrasted starkly: winning scores were seven-under and 21-under, winning margins a play-off and eight shots, the rain of 2017 replaced by fierce humidity in 2018. Given that it's his debut at the course, and that he's been off since the Masters, I doubt there will be many who are rushing to take single-figure prices despite success for Rahm on Sunday. It's a par-70 with a long front-nine and fairly short back-nine, two meaty par-fives, but not perhaps the scoring opportunities McIlroy really relishes. Now, he has to tackle TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, a formerly maligned course which returned in 20 for two editions of the Quicken Loans National. McIlroy has won this three times already, including last year, but all of those were at Quail Hollow, the sort of course he loves. With Tiger Woods' participation all but certain now, perhaps only victory for Rory McIlroy in the Wells Fargo Championship can add to the excitement. Away from opposite fields, eight of the last nine PGA Tour events have been won by members of the world's top 20, and the stage is set for the PGA Championship in a fortnight.
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Since Augusta, it's as though those 10 plus Jordan Spieth have been shaken into life, Spieth winning first of all, then Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele in New Orleans, before Jon Rahm won for the first time since last June's US Open. Scheffler and Cameron Smith won five of the 14 events from January through the Masters, including all three of the biggest and most important, versus zero wins for the 10 highest-ranked players on the planet at the beginning of the year. Before the Masters, this PGA Tour year had been notable for two things: the transformation of Scottie Scheffler from standout maiden to standout player, and the ongoing frustrations of those who had combined to keep Scheffler out of the world's top 10 at the end of 2021.